Sunday, October 3, 2010

2010 MLB Predictions Revisited

Way back on April 4th, a now-younger version of myself posted some predictions for the 2010 MLB season on his Facebook page.  Let's break them down to see how Nostradamus-like that Zach turned out to be:

1)  Predicted Division Winners: Yankees, White Sox, Rangers, Rockies, Cardinals, Phillies.
     Actual: Rays, Twins, Rangers, Giants, Reds, Phillies (2/6)

2)  Predicted Wild Card Winners: Rays, Dodgers.
     Actual: Yankees, Braves (0/2)

I predicted 3/4 of the AL Playoff teams correctly.  The Yankees and Rays came down to the final day and the White Sox finished in 2nd place.  The NL was a little more cloudy, but it usually is.

3)  Prediction: "The Reds make a serious play at the Wild Card."
     Actual: The Reds won the NL Central.  Considering they finished in 4th place last year (7 games under .500), this was a bold prediction.

4)  Prediction: "The Mets and Twins are huge disappointments."
     Actual: 1/2 right -- the Mets self-destructed as usual.  Their relief pitcher got arrested for an in-stadium fight, their big offseason acquistion, Jason Bay, didn't even hit 10 homers, and they paid Bret Saberhagen $250,000 even though he hasn't put on their uniform since Clinton was in office (need I mention it was during his first term?).  The Twins won the division...maybe because of that Mauer guy.

5)  "Stephen Strasburg has season-ending arm surgery."
     Actual:  I have to admit I scared myself with this one.  I was completely correct: late in August he underwent some tests and it was determined he needed Tommy John Surgery.  The most insane part about this prediction is that he hadn't even pitched an inning in the Major Leagues when I made this claim.

6)  "Richard Hidalgo joins and quits a baseball team in South America."
     Actual: While this most likely happened, I don't care enough to research it.

So there you have it.  All in all, I'd have to consider my predictions to be pretty accurate.  I'm most proud of having picked the Rangers to win their division and the Reds to make a splash in the playoff picture.  My final prediction was a Yankees World Series victory.  Stay tuned for that one...